Toronto at Minnesota

Toronto's offense hasn't been as strong as expected at #15 in runs scored, #17 in on base percentage and #22 in batting average. The Blue Jays head to Minnesota, a large park, and the Toronto is 19-7-1 UNDER the total on the road. Blue Jays' starter J.A. Happ (5-1, 3.40 ERA) is throwing well and the team is 9-1-1 UNDER the total when he starts on the road. His teams are also 35-17-1 UNDER the total when he starts. Happ has a 1.91 ERA in four road outings and faces a Minnesota offense that is #28 in baseball in runs scored and #25 in on base percentage. They have never seen Twins' lefty Pat Dean, who will be making his first major-league start after going 1-3 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts for Triple-A Rochester this season. Toby Basner is calling balls and strikes today and the UNDER is 16-6-1 when he is behind home plate, all of which makes this total too high. Play this one to finish UNDER the total.