Toronto at Kansas City

Edinson Volquez allowed three runs on five hits with eight strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings in a 4-2 loss in game three of the ALDS. It was a shaky performance that included four walks. However, Toronto batters are hitting just .227 against the right-hander and he is 8-4 with a respectable 3.48 ERA at home this season. The Royals are 53-31 overall at Kauffman Stadium. The Blue Jays are 2-5 the last seven meetings with the Royals. Marco Estrada has given up four runs in 12 1/3 innings against the Royals this year. Kansas City has won eight of its last 10 games overall and is 5-1 its last six contests against right-handed starters. The Blue Jays are in a letdown situation after their bizarre win in game five on Wednesday. The value lies with the home underdog in this situation. Look for Kansas City to grab the lead in this series, so play the Royals.