Toronto at Kansas City

Both of these clubs are struggling to get over .500. Neither team can score, and both pitchers have been bad. For sure, Jake Junis has been worse, but he has only pitched four times so the numbers won't stay that bad. Toronto has not historically taken care of business vs. bad starters, going just 40-51 in their last 91 games vs. pitchers with an ERA of 6.90 or worse. As a favorite in this range (-125 to -175), the Blue Jays are just 8-14 this season. They are also 7-13 the past couple of seasons after a game in which they allowed 9+ runs. Back the home dog.