Toronto at Houston

This is the fourth straight road game for Toronto. The Blue Jays had the day off yesterday after playing 20 games in 20 days. Toronto finished 10-10 during that stretch with a minus-14 run differential, and the team ranks #20 in pitching ERA since the break. Blue Jays' righty Cesar Valdez (6.59 ERA) has allowed 44 base runners in 27 innings with batters hitting .313 off him. He allowed seven hits and seven runs the last game in just two innings. Houston is home for the fifth straight game. The Astros are 65-34 against teams whose hitters strike out 7+ times a game, plus 23-6 versus teams averaging 0.35 or fewer steals. Houston goes with Brad Peacock (9-1, 2.62 ERA), who has been great in his roles as a starter or reliever. He is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA in his career against the Blue Jays. Houston is 41-15 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, as well as 54-24 vs. a right-handed starter. And the Blue Jays are just 3-8 at Houston. Play Houston.