Toronto at Detroit

The Toronto Blue Jays have won 18 of their last 22 games, while the Tigers have been in a slump losing 12 of their last 16. The Jays claimed the first two games in this series, but that leaves the Tigers in a great spot. Teams that lose the first two games of a series, as a home favorite, and are playing game three as a home favorite, win 66.3% of the time with an ROI of over 10%. This covers the last decade. Justin Verlander is the ultimate stopper with a 90-46 record in his last 136 at home as a favorite, 38-15 off a team loss in their previous game, and 21-7 off of two losses. The Tigers own a 5-1 record in Verlander's last six starts vs. the Jays. Everything points to the home team here. Make the play on Detroit.