Toronto at Cleveland

There is a much larger upside to Josh Johnson than the 1-3 record we have seen so far, and his 4.89 ERA is not likely to last for long. Ubaldo Jimenez has electric stuff, and when he is on, he is one of the top pitchers in the game. Earlier this season he held this Blue Jays' lineup in check, as he limited them to 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings. Surprisingly, the Jays own the lowest bullpen ERA in the American League at 2.93, and I expect this game to be much lower scoring than posted here. Toronto has played to a 9-2 mark to the UNDER in their last 11 on the road, as well as 20-8-1 to the UNDER in their last 29 on the road vs. a winning team. The Tribe is 18-5-3 to the UNDER in Jimenez' last 26 starts to a total from 9 to 10.5. Go with the UNDER in this one.