Toronto at Cleveland

Cleveland has fallen 4.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the very weak AL Central. These teams have seen the first two games of their series score a total of five runs. The Guardians won last night 1-0 and a team of a 1-0 loss shows the next game as equally tight, and statistically the average scoring margin in these games is +0.01 runs, so these games have been toss-ups and the number of games in the data set fitting this situation is over 500. The winning percentage is 50.7% so again these games are typically close. I see a big advantage on the Guardians at this price. Make the play on Cleveland, run line.