Toronto at Chicago

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a lot like the Colorado Rockies this season. They are reliant on their big bats in the middle of the lineup to try to outhit their soddy pitching. They have so far had a 5.7 to 3.9 runs per game advantage at home vs. their opponents, but the road shows a much different story where they go to 5.1-4.9. The bigger problem for a hitting-reliant team is playing in Chicago. White Sox home games have produced fewer runs than any other park, at a tiny 6.5 combined runs per game. That is a huge asset for Chicago in this game, as the Toronto offense is in its most difficult spot of any park to hit in this season, and the pitching simply can't counter the added deficit. The value is on the home team in this one, so make the play on Chicago.