Toronto at Chicago

These teams have traded blowout wins in the first two games of the series with Toronto winning 14-0 in game one and Chicago taking game two 10-2. Today it's Roy Halladay and you know what that means. A juiced line as the public lines up behind him. Halladay is off his longest outing of the season and he's just 3-4 lifetime vs. the Sox. AL teams averaging over 6 runs per game have actually produced a losing 40-70 record. Chicago is 59-32 the past two seasons at home. That includes a 12-3 mark as a home dog the dating back to last season. Over the past couple of seasons they are 19-4 at home after a game in which they scored 8+ runs. Yes Halladay is scary but I believe Chicago is the right pick here. I like them on the moneyline but because it's Halladay, I'll go with the more conservative runline pick.