Toronto at Boston

Toronto owns an 8-6 record against the BoSox this season including 4-4 here in Beantown. Josh Becket has a 6-4 home record but that's due to very good run support. His ERA is an average 4.83 at home and over his last three starts it's pushed up to 5.78. Gustavo Chacin has a better road ERA (4.79). So I view the starting matchup as about even. So this comes down to other factors. Boston has shown a little life having won two games in this series so far after falling apart in late August. But, they still aren't scoring. They've scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 13 games! That's not the kind of run support Beckett needs. They put up 6 runs in the opener vs. Halladay but they managed just 3 total runs in the past two games. They do NOT like facing left handers like Chacin. While scoring about 5.5 runs per game vs. righties, they score nearly a full run less versus southpaws (4.6). Their record against right-handers: 53-38 (58%). Versus lefties: 20-25 (44%). Now that's a huge difference. Maybe that's why Chacin Toronto is 4-1 vs. Boston with Chacin starting. Meanwhile, Boston is 1-3 vs. the Jays with Beckett starting. Boston is 6-13 since the All-Star break vs. winning teams and they just don't deserve to lay this kind of wood right now. Blue Jays here.