This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:19PM ET.
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Toronto at Baltimore

August 20, 2006
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Toronto looks to Roy Halladay to help them avoid the sweep. Halladay is 15-3 on the year with a 7-1 mark and 2.83 ERA on the road. Laying this small a number on him is a gift. Sure, Erik Bedard has been very good for Baltimore but he isn't as good as Halladay - no way. And he's just 2-12 during August games over the past three seasons and 5-17 overall during the second half over the past two seasons. If history holds true, his best may be behind him. Toronto hasn't been scoring in this series but they may not need much here with Halladay pitching. He's got a lifetime ERA vs. the Orioles. Bad teams (46% or worse on the season) at +125 to -125 after shutting out a division rival are just 18-47 (28%) in that next game over the past decade. I expect the Blue Jays to bounce back behind the arm of Roy Halladay here.

2 units on Toronto -114 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.75)
Result:
WIN
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