Toronto at Baltimore

This American League East battle features a pair of vastly improved teams. The problem is that they are locked in a division that includes the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays, and both will have a hard time keeping pace. The Orioles are 11-7, despite playing 10 on the road, and have held eight teams to 2 runs or less, including the Jays in the first two games in this series. Both starting pitchers have under-achieved to start the season, but should be able to handle the lineups they will oppose here in this one, as both offenses have cooled with just six total runs scored in the first two games in this series. The Jays have had their problems with winning teams where they are just 1-5 in their last six, and just six of their last 23 as a road favorite of -110 to -150 have topped the total. Baltimore has really elevated their play vs. good teams and are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. teams with a winning record on the season, including 8-2 in their last 10 at home. They have also played seven straight at home with none of them managing to get OVER the total when facing a right-hander. The Jays are just 1-4 in the last five vs. the O's, and with an anticipated low-scoring game, play Baltimore on the runline, as well as the UNDER.