Wade Davis has been highly consistent on the mound through 10 starts with a respectful 3.71 ERA, but more importantly he keeps the Rays in the game every time he takes the hill. In his 10 starts, Davis has yet to be hit extra hard allowing no more than 4 runs in any of them. Going back to last year, that makes 19 straight starts with 4 runs or less. The picture is not so rosey for Derek Holland of the Rangers where he has allowed 4 runs or more in five of his last eight starts, suggesting a greater edge for the Rays here than the line indicates. As a result, I'll go with Tampa.
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