Texas at Tampa Bay

The Rays are definitely out of their brief slump and have caught the Rangers. The Rays are a hot team which had a little slip at 2-7, but before and after the nine game bad stretch, they have gone a combined 27-7. The Rangers have had trouble rebounding after dropping the first two games of a series as they are 1-6 after dropping the first two in their last seven and are 0-5 in that situation behind Holland. The Rays are beating up on the good teams at home with an 80-38 mark at home in their last 118 vs a winning team. Texas belts in the runs at home, but on the road where they average just 4.4 per game, leading to a 31-23 UNDER mark away from home. In 31 day games this season, they have managed to score only 3.8 runs per game. Tampa Bay averaged 5.5 per game on the road, but only 4.5 per game at home leading to a 34-26 UNDER mark at home. Tampa Bay's pitching has led the charge allowing a total of 22 runs in their last nine games, or less than 2.5 per contest. Texas is  50-24-3 to the UNDER in game three of a series with Tampa Bay right with them at 39-18-3, for a combined game three UNDER mark of 89-42-6. When facing a winning team, the Rangers are 78-55 UNDER the past two seasons. And, after a game in which they allowed 8+ runs, they are 29-13 UNDER dating back to last season. At home, the Rays are 14-4 UNDER this season to a total of 9 to 9.5. I like the hot Rays and the UNDER here.