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Texas at Los Angeles

July 13, 2007
img12:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Does Jared Weaver deserve this line? Sure he has a good ERA (3.67). But, he's only 6-5 and he's actually been worse at home (2-2 with 4.09 ERA) at home than on the road. And, he's lost his last two starts. Kevin Milwood hasn't been as good as Weaver overall but he's been hot of late, winning his last two starts giving up just 3 runs in 14 innnings. One of those wins was against the Angels earlier this month. Texas has been the hotter team. They have won six of nine and fifteen of their last twenty eight while LA has dropped five of their last eight and they've been outscored 44-75 over their last twelve games. The Angels are just 15-20 this season vs. AL teams that hit .260 or worse. There is a ton of line value in this one and as such, we'll back the underdog.

2 units on Texas +187 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
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R
Texas Rangers
0
0
0
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1
Los Angeles Angels
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2
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