Texas at Houston

The Texas Rangers may be leading the American League West, but they have gotten there by taking advantage of their hitter-friendly home park, as they are just 10-11 on the road for the season. Scott Feldman has taken over for Vicente Padilla - out with an injury. Feldman has a 5.79 ERA in one start vs. the Astros and his innings will be limited, exposing the Rangers’ pen. Brian Moehler got off to a horrific start, but has found a groove pitching to a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts, and he has had success against the Rangers at 6-4 over his career. The Rangers are a different team on the road where they score more than two runs fewer than they do at home, so I like the Astros in this one. I am also playing the under in this one. As noted above, the Rangers are 2.1 runs per game less productive on the road. The Astros lead all of baseball right now in UNDERS, and at home, they have turned in 62% to the UNDER. This one is set too high, so the UNDER gets the nod.