Texas at Cleveland

The Indians shocked everyone (including themselves) by starting the season 30-15. But since then, things are regressing to where we expected as they have dropped eight of their last 11. They started 19-4 at home, but have lost their last five here. Are they as bad as their recent performance? No. But they certainly aren't as good as their start indicated. Today they must face C.J. Wilson who owns a 3.21 ERA (even better on the road). And Mitch Talbot is no match. Whereas Wilson is going nearly 7 innings per start, Talbot isn't able to get to 6 per start. Over the past three seasons, the Rangers are 28-17 on the road vs. starting pitchers like Talbot who give up 0.5+ home runs per start. Take the Rangers here.