Tampa Bay vs. New York

Tampa Bay is loaded with great pitching depth and the team is 38-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. Charlie Morton starts, with a 42-10 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and he sports a 2.25 ERA against the Yankees this season. Tampa Bay is 56-31 UNDER the total away from home against a starting pitcher with fewer than 1.75 walks per start, plus 10-2 UNDER away versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start. New York starter Masahiro Tanaka (3.56 ERA) has a strong 44-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio along with great bullpen depth. With so much at stake, look for more defense than offense. Take Tampa Bay/New York UNDER the total.