Tampa Bay at Toronto

The king of pitchers as a home favorite is the Blue Jays' starter for this one in Mark Buehrle. Buehrle has amassed the best mark in this role over the last 10 years where he is 94-44 in 138 starts as home chalk, and the return trumps all other pitchers at 15.3%. It's simply too tough to go against that kind of success. Tampa Bay has been competitive in past seasons due to quality starting pitching, but injuries and under-performing pitchers have taken their toll this season. Tampa Bay is last in MLB with just 17 quality starts in 52 games on the season, and when they fail to get one they are 7-28. Needless to say they will likely need one in this contest vs. the king of the hill as a home chalk, and even if they get one it still may not be enough. Play on Toronto.