Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Toronto Blue Jays have done very well in the rugged AL East, and you have to like their chances as a home dog here with Hector Alvarez taking the ball. Alvarez has pitched to a 2.63 ERA on the season, but has gotten confident and comfortable with each passing start. His numbers over the last four games are as good as anyone, as he has allowed just 4 runs in 29 innings of work. Tampa has been in championship form at home where they are 13-3, but have been south of the .500 mark on the road at just 9-11. The Jays are capable of winning a pitcher's duel behind Alvarez where they are 5-1 in his last six starts with a total set from 7-8.5. Ride the value here on a live home dog, and play on Toronto.