Tampa Bay at Toronto

Toronto has lost 17 of their last 23 games and seven of eight vs. the Rays this season. But I like them to win here. Despite all that, and the big comeback win by Tampa Bay last night, the fact remains that the Rays are a losing road team while Toronto is a winning home team. This applies to both moneyline and run line. When playing their third straight road game this season, the Rays are 16-28. After three or more road games this season, they are 9-20 vs. the run line. When instilled as a small road favorite (-100 to -125), they are just 7-18 this season! In July thus far, Tampa Bay is 2-11 on the road vs. the run line. I like Toronto at the +1.5 odds on the run line here.