Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Toronto Blue Jays have a lot of ground to make up in the AL East and the wildcard race, but will be poised for a win here this afternoon vs. Tampa Bay. Mark Buehrle has been the best pitcher in baseball over the last 10 years when he takes the ball at home. Buehrle's clubs have enjoyed a magnificent 93-42 record when he has taken the hill as a home favorite, the most profitable pitcher in baseball as a home favorite over the last decade. Jeremy Hellickson owns an 8-3 record, but sports a 4.67 ERA, so his record does not speak to his performance on the season, and this is a tough match-up for Tampa. The Jay's have come away with the win in Buehrle's last five home starts, and I expect another strong outing here. Play on Toronto.