Tampa Bay at Toronto

Tampa Bay is one of the best road teams in the league, but their bats are weak right now (3.7 runs per game over their last seven). David Price has pitched very well this season, but the Rays have lost six straight with him on the mound when facing an AL team batting .265 or worse. And, Toronto has fared well against good pitchers this season, going 20-14 thus far vs. pitchers with a WHIP of 1.200 or better. With Brandon Morrow on the mound the past two seasons, the Jays are 18-8 vs. winning teams. Tampa Bay has won four straight in this series but Toronto is 21-10 this season when playing with triple-revenge. They are also 14-8 this season when coming off a close one-run loss. The Blue Jays are also 20-8 dating back to last season when coming off three straight losses. I like the live home dog here, so play on Toronto.