Tampa Bay at Toronto

Tampa Bay heads out on the road after a seven-game homestand. The unbeaten Rays have had an easy schedule facing the Nationals, Tigers, and Red Sox, three teams with little pitching. Starter Drew Rasmussen was 5-4 on the road last year with a 3.49 ERA and went 0-3 against Toronto. Tampa Bay is 18-26 on the road against teams that walk 3 or fewer times per game, plus 13-22 versus teams with a bullpen that converts on 75%+ of its saves. Toronto has won seven of nine despite playing just three home games. The Blue Jays have scored the second-most runs in baseball and are sixth in on-base percentage, plus Top 10 in slugging. Jose Berrios makes his first home start of the new season after going 7-2 at home in 2022. And MLB teams like the Rays that average 5.1 runs are 28-41 versus teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 and a bullpen WHIP of 1.150 or better. Back the home team to win or lose by a run. Play Toronto on the Run-Line.