Tampa Bay at Seattle

Like Seattle in this series last night but tonight I think the D-Rays actually have a shot. Yes, they are pretty bad on the road but tonight I like the pitching matchup. Jarrod Wasburn goes for the Mariners and he's 5-11 including 3-5 at home. In his last five starts he's 0-3 with a 5.38 ERA. He is a rare pitcher that is much worse at home (31-38 lifetime) than on the road (49-30). He's also just 6-11 as a favorite of -150 or more the last three seasons. Why should he be laying this much wood? Opposing him is James Shields who has been hot of late posting a 3.86 ERA over his last three starts. The Devil Rays are off a 4 run loss and they are 17-16 this year after 4+ run losses. As bad as they are they seem to have a bit of pride and respond well to getting blown out. Further proof of that: They are also 19-18 off two consecutive losses. In contrast Seattle is 7-21 following a win of 4+ runs the last three seasons. Finally, Tampa Bay likes facing lefties. While they manage just 4.4 runs per game overall on the season, they get 5.2 vs. left handed starters. Great value here on Tampa Bay.