Tampa Bay at New York

Tampa Bay has lost five of its last seven road contests and plays its third straight at Yankee Stadium. Batters are hitting over .300 off starter Shane Baz (5.23 ERA) and the bullpen is 23rd in ERA (4.32). The offense is 27th in runs scored, 15th in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging. They're on a 14-6-2 run UNDER the total, including 7-0 UNDER after a victory. New York is No. 1 in runs scored in the majors, while the pitching is fourth in ERA (3.57), including sixth in the bullpen (3.47 ERA) and eighth in WHIP. Batters are hitting just .237 off starter Marcus Stroman (3.51 ERA). The Yankees are on a 6-5-1 run UNDER the total, so back home field in a pitcher's duel. Play New York + UNDER the total.