Tampa Bay at New York

Tampa Bay lost to the Yankees yesterday, 6-1, and has dropped five of its last six road contests. Batters are hitting just .208 off Tampa Bay starter Taj Bradley (2.90 ERA). He's better at home, however, with a 6.20 ERA on the road. The offense is 28th in runs scored, 16th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging, on a 14-5-2 run UNDER the total. New York is No. 1 in runs scored in the majors, while the pitching is fourth in ERA (3.51) and fifth in the bullpen (3.43 ERA). Starter Nestor Cortes has 110 Ks in 115+ innings with only 22 walks and sports a 1.81 ERA at home. They're on a 6-4-1 run UNDER the total, so back home field in a pitcher's duel. Play New York + UNDER the total.