Tampa Bay at New York

The Yankees are a very powerful team at home, and have been scoring runs in big chunks, especially vs. mediocre pitching. There is also a history of this team playing some slugfests after the hated Red Sox leave town. The Yankees in their first game after the Red Sox come to town have seen their games average 13.5 runs in the last four years. In addition, the Yankees, and the Stadium, seem to bring out the best in the D-Ray hitters, as the last three series they have come here and and in nine games have totaled an amazing 140 runs (15.6 per game). The D-Rays line-up is also clicking on all cylinders right now, as they have scored 65 runs in their last seven games, good for 9.3 per game. We look for a lot of runs to be scored in this one, and we will play the OVER. The Yankees have also had a "Red Sox hangover" as it relates to winning. The mighty Yankees have recently gone just 18-25 in the first game played after the Red Sox series, good for -25.3 units to their backers. Everyone remembers the Boston Masacre last season when the Yankees swept the Sox five straight. They went on to lose their next game and 4 of their next 5! The last 12 times these teams have met, the Yankees have gone 3-9. New York has also lost to some very bad teams along the way, as their mark when installed as a favorite of -200 or more stands at 3-7! Two of those seven losses were -320 and -370. The 3-7 record puts them at -16 units when favored by -200+. The Rays offense has been hot, and they have now won three in a row and six of seven. We will run with the circumstantial value on this one.