Tampa Bay at Minnesota

Tampa Bay plays its sixth straight road game here, and they're getting outscored by 71 runs, which is the fourth-worst differential in the AL. The offense is 25th in runs scored, 19th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging, while the pitching is 25th in ERA (4.42) and 21st in the pen (4.37 ERA). Starter Zack Littell has a 5.40 ERA on the road where batters are hitting .349 off him. The Rays are 23-32 against righty starters, 5-15 versus an AL starter with an ERA of 3.70 or better, plus 28-44 after playing five or more consecutive road contests. Minnesota ends a nice 10-game homestand on an 8-2 run. The offense is 10th in runs scored, 12th in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging. Simeon Woods Richardson (3.29 ERA) is on the mound with the Twins 26-8 versus losing teams and 19-6 after playing three or more straight home games. The bullpen is 13th in ERA (3.63) and eighth in WHIP and the Twins are 69-54 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. Play Minnesota + UNDER the total.