Tampa Bay at Minnesota

Tampa Bay is the third-worst road team in the league (17-35) and they've dropped 5 straight games. Minnesota has won 5 straight and they are the best home team in the leage (35-11). Hmmm. No wonder they are going for the sweep here. Back to Minnesota's play at home - they are 22-2 at the Metrodome since late May! They are also 21-4 overall as a favorite of -150 or higher this season. Brad Radke has been awesome at home (6-2 with 3.80 ERA) and has been improving (2.84 ERA over his last three starts). The Twins are 7-0 with him starting a night game this year. Jae Seo is 1-3 with a 4.99 ERA on the road. Minneosta is 12-5 vs. the D-Rays overall over the past three seasons. Tampa manages 4.1 runs per game on the road this season and they're averaging 2.6 per game over their last seven. Minnesota pounds in 5.8 per game at home this year. Minnesota's bullpen is 9-1 wiht a 2.50 ERA at home while Tampa's is 5-9 with a 4.32 road ERA. Twinkies here in a game in which I feel we should be laying higher than 2-to-1 odds but are not.