Tampa Bay at Detroit

Kenny Rogers is coming off a 6-2 victory boosting his record to 8-3 and the Tigers have won 4 of 5. Over his last four starts, Rogers is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA and he's always pitched well against Tampa Bay. He also takes care of business against bad teams having gone 16-2 over the last three seasons vs. teams that get outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. Opposing him is Seth McClung who is 2-8 with a 6.25 ERA. On the road, he's winless with a 9.10 ERA. Not surprising as Tampa Bay is just 12-23 on the road where they manage just 4.1 runs per game. Detroit has the offensive edge here as well as a big edge in the bullpen. Teams starting a very good pitcher like Rogers with an ERA below 3.50 facing a team batting below .265 and a starter whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse are 42-8 (84%) over the last 5 seasons. Just too many advantages for Detroit here.