Tampa Bay at Boston

Tampa Bay missed a golden opportunity to cut the deficit to three games, heading into this pivotal four-game series with the Red Sox. It isn't very often you get Boston at even odds at home, but such is the case here. The Red Sox are starting a rookie pitcher, and the Rays have a pitching edge. The Sox score a lot of runs at home, and have the closer late to win. The Rays haven't exactly earned the right to be even here, as over the years, Fenway Park has been an unkind 26-57 to the Rays. Boston has also been huge when facing a team off a game where they scored 2 runs or less in their last game, coming in at 68-32 in their last 100. The Rays are also misfiring on the road as a dog at 2-5 in their last seven, and stands just 1-4 in the same situation behind Hellickson. Boston prevails at Fenway.