Tampa Bay at Boston

I know the juice is very high. As can be seen here, we need to win 8 out of 10 at this line to show a profit:

http://www.wunderdog.com/winning_percentage.gif

I think the Sox do we 8, 9 or 10 games if this were played ten times. When Kurt Schilling is on, very few people in this league can match him as evidenced by his 8 inning and one run performance against the Yankees in his last start. There is another reason why I like this matchup though and that is because in his first outing against the Rays at home, he won his decision by going 6 innings and giving up one earned run. Although McClung has pitched well of late, he's got an 8.75 road ERA. The D-Rays are 1-4 in McClungs last 5 starts and 9-17 overall on the road scoring 3.7 and allowing 5.8. Schilling is 16-2 when he is favored by -200 or more and the Red Sox are 67-11 when favored by -200 or more. He's got a 1.86 home ERA this season going 7.2 innings per start and allowing just six runs, no home runs and one walk in 29 innings. He is 3-0 against the Rays at home and the Red Sox are 26-4 at home the last three seasons vs. bad teams that have been outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. If you have the guts, ride the solid investment here today on Schilling and the Sox.