Tampa Bay at Baltimore

This one seems like an easy pick on the Rays. They have won three in a row while the Orioles have lost three straight and five of six. Wade Davis has been great while Bradley Bergesen is 0-3 with a 5.26 ERA. Yet the line is virtually even. Exactly. Let's not forget where this game is being played. It's hard to win on the road and despite all factors pointing towards the Rays, the oddsmakers are begging you to take them. I like Baltimore to find a way to win this. Under Buck Showalter, the O's are 8-1 after scoring 4 or fewer runs in four straight games. They are also a winning team in the underdog role under Buck. And, in their last 20 home games vs. RHP, the Orioles are 14-6. Nearly 80% of the public is on Tampa Bay but I'm going the other way.