Tampa Bay at Baltimore

Tampa's sliding with six straight losses but I think they avoid the sweep here tonight thanks to Scott Kazmir. This guy is money and getting him at even money is a gift. He's got a 2.86 overall ERA giving up just 22 earned runs in 11 games / 69 innings pitched. He's gotten more strikeouts (73) than hits given up (69). Baltimore has struggled against lefties, too, batting just .231 on the season. Teams allowing 5.2 or more runs/game like Baltimore, following three straight wins by 2 runs or less are just 12-29 (29%) in their next game over the past decade. Tampa and Kazmir here.