Tampa Bay at Baltimore

Tampa Bay is riding strong in first place in the competitive AL East. They have not swung the bats very well of late and they are 6-5 over their last 11 games, where they have failed to score more than 3 runs in the majority of those 11 games. Baltimore is in the basement at 39-70 and each of their last 3 opponents has scored 10 or more runs against them. That sets up Baltimore in a very strong spot heading into the weekend as a team that saw their bullpen give up 5 or more runs, are 47-23 over the last 5 years in Saturday games good for +39 units of profit. It doesn't look good, but history dictates otherwise. Make the play on Baltimore.