Tampa Bay at Arizona

The Diamondbacks are surprisingly the top team in the NL West as we approach the All-Star break. They have split two of the first three games in this series vs. the Rays. Tampa Bay is going through its worst stretch of the season as they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Rays also have a losing record over their last 17 games. Tampa Bay has been almost unbeatable at home on the season, where they are 34-10. The Rays have been quite average on the road, carrying a 10-14 mark in their last 24 games. Tampa's 10 victories in their last 24 road games include four wins by a single run. That would leave them at 6-18 to a would-be +1.5 run line. Arizona has been undervalued all season, and at this price, I'm taking the Diamondbacks on the run line.