St. Louis at San Francisco

St. Louis is on an 8-4 run. They won three of those as an underdog, including opening this series with a 6-3 victory as a +123 dog. Batters are hitting just .204 off starter Michael McGreevy (2.40 ERA) with the Cardinals 3-0 when he takes the mound (two starts). The Cardinals are 5-1 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. San Francisco is on a 4-11 run at home, including a 6-2 loss to the lowly White Sox as -245 chalk. The offense is 16th in runs, 20th in on-base percentage, and 28th in steals. Hayden Birdsong (4.66 ERA) walks too many batters (40 in 67+ innings). He's walked 16 in 27 innings at home and the Giants are 2-7 in his last nine starts. Play St. Louis.