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St. Louis at Pittsburgh

September 5, 2009
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been a complete disaster on the road, as they have now gone 4-28 on the road in their last 32. They certainly have been a much more viable team at home, where they have been a completely different team at 35-30. Those numbers match very closely to the Cardinals road record of 37-30. So home vs. away these teams are in the same conversation. That conversation becomes much different when you consider that Ross Olendorf has by far been the most effective starter for the Pirates, and especially at home. Olendorf's last nine starts at home have resulted in eight Pirate wins. That pales in contrast to the Card's starter, Mitchell Boggs who is pitching to an ERA over 6 on the road. So we start even, with these teams record-wise home vs. away, but the value is found with the starting pitchers and the Pirates have a decided edge here. I'll go with Pittsburgh here.

4 units on Pittsburgh +110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 4)
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