St. Louis at Pittsburgh

These teams played a three-game series in mid-June, and they all went UNDER. St. Louis is 44-36 UNDER, Pittsburgh is 43-37 UNDER in 2024, and the Pirates have stayed UNDER their past four games. Mitch Keller is 9-4 with a 3.20 ERA, and the Pirates have won eight of his past nine starts. He is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA at home this season. St. Louis has alternated wins and losses in its past seven games, and it comes off a 2-0 win over Cincinnati on Sunday. The Cardinals have lost three of Kyle Gibson's past four starts, and Pittsburgh has won Keller's past five starts in the first game of a series. The UNDER is 12-1-1 in Keller's past 14 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Pirates and the UNDER.