St. Louis at Philadelphia

When the Phillies acquired Roy Halladay, many believed he could have a shot at 25 wins here. He certainly hasn't eliminated the possibility with his 5-1 start backed by a 1.80 ERA. Going back to last season covering 12 starts, the opponent has scored just 24 runs in the 12 games, or exactly 2 per game, so the likely scenario here is the Phillies have to get to 7. That is even more unlikely with the Cards allowing 4 runs or less in each of their last 14 games, and just once has a team topped the 4-run mark in their last 19 games. This one stays UNDER the total.