St. Louis at Miami

St. Louis has a losing road mark and has lost all three games in this series, 5-4, 15-2, and 10-9. The pitching has been hit hard dropping to 25th in ERA (4.69) and 24th in the bullpen (4.49 ERA). Jack Flaherty (4.60 ERA) has lacked control walking 46 batters in 86 innings. He's also allowed 78 base runners in 50+ road innings (24 walks). The Cardinals are 5-13 after a defeat and 16-35 on the road against winning teams. Miami is 28-16 at home on a 22-9 run overall. Hard-throwing rookie righty Eury Perez (2.47 ERA) has been outstanding, especially at home where he has a 1.01 ERA. The Marlins are 40-27 versus righty starters, plus 28-12 as a favorite. Play Miami.