This pick was released to clients on July 04, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.
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St. Louis at Miami

July 4, 2023
img1:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

St. Louis has a losing road mark and lost at Miami yesterday, 5-4. They've lost six of 10 overall and are 5-11 after a loss. The pitching staff is 24th in ERA (4.54) with a bullpen ranked 22nd (4.28 ERA). 41-year-old Adam Wainwright (7.45 ERA) has had a rough campaign with batters hitting .323 off him on the road. The Cardinals are 16-28 versus winning teams and they've dropped six of the last seven on the road against winning squads. Miami is 26-16 at home ranked 13th in team ERA and Top 10 in WHIP. Starter Jesus Luzardo has a 2.65 ERA at home and the Marlins are 15-4 in his last 19 home starts. Miami is 39-27 against righty starters, plus 16-2 as chalk of -150 or higher, so back home field. Play Miami.

1 unit on Miami -174 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.57)
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