This pick was released to clients on April 29, 2023 at 7:09AM ET.
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St. Louis at Los Angeles

April 29, 2023
img9:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

St. Louis has a losing road record and plays its ninth straight road contest on a 3-8 skid after losing the opener of this series yesterday, 7-3. The Cardinals are 16th in runs scored, while the pitching is 22nd in ERA (4.49), 26th in WHIP, and 17th in the bullpen. Starter Jordan Montgomery got roughed up by the Dodgers last season (13.50 ERA) and St. Louis is 5-13 versus winning teams, plus 17-40 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Los Angeles is fifth in runs scored and fourth in slugging. Starter Clayton Kershaw (2.32 ERA) is holding batters to a .193 average, including just .152 at home where he sports a 0.69 ERA. The Dodgers are 55-23 as a favorite of -125 to -175, as well as 16-3 as home chalk of -150 or less. They've also won nine of the last 11 versus St. Louis at Dodger Stadium, so back the star-laden home team. Play Los Angeles. 

1 unit on Los Angeles -139 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.72)
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