St. Louis at Los Angeles

The Dodgers manage just 3.3 runs per game. At home this season, only 3.1 per game, and vs. RHP, they score just 2.3 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are banging in 5.8 per game (8.0 on the road). Chad Billingsley has posted a 7.71 ERA for the Dodgers this season so I don't see him having a great chance at slowing down the Cards. Dating back to last season, St. Louis is 32-20 in expected close games (line of +125 to -125). The Dodgers over that span are 22-42 as an underdog of +100 to +150. Chris Carpenter has feasted on poor hitting NL teams. He is 55-18 in his last 73 starts vs. NL teams that average less than 4.4 runs per game. Play the Cardinals here.