St. Louis at Colorado

The Rockies have lost six in a row and are in desparate need of a win. I like their chances here against a St. Louis team that is 23-17 at home, but just 18-18 on the road and getting only 3.3 runs per game. The Rockies average 6.5 per game here at home. That's a full 3.2 runs per game difference. That is hard to ignore! Dating back to last season, the Cards are just 16-29 on the road following a close win by two runs or less. Meanwhile, over that same time period, the Rockies are 23-13 following a one-run loss. Colorado's Jhoulys Chacin has really heated up, posting a 2.84 ERA over his last three starts. With the huge offensive disparity in this game, and a capable pithcer on the mound for Colorado, take the Rockies tonight.