St. Louis at Cincinnati

Cincinnati is a home dog off a bad game, losing 6-3, but they are a terrific bounce back team. The Reds are 65-23 in their last 88 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game, as well as 6-1 following a loss. St. Louis is in town with their ace, but the up and down Cardinals have a losing road record with a weak offense, 21st in runs scored with no power (25th in slugging). The Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Reds righty Mike Leake (2.91 ERA) has been very good, walking only 12 in 65 innings with 54 hits allowed. Opponents are hitting .177 off him at home where he sports a 2.38 ERA! The Reds are 4-1 against a right-handed starter and 4-1 in Leake's last five starts as a home underdog. Play the Reds.