This pick was released to clients on June 05, 2022 at 11:38AM ET.
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St. Louis at Chicago

June 5, 2022
img7:08 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Chicago will try to win the series after splitting a doubleheader on Saturday, and the Cubs have won four of their last six games. They'll go with Justin Steele here, who gave up three runs on three hits in five innings against Milwaukee on Tuesday. Steele had one bad outing against Cincinnati that inflated his ERA, but other than that game he has allowed 17 earned runs in 38 innings, and he has a .205 opponent batting average at home. Adam Wainwright will be facing the Cubs for the first time this season, and Chicago hitters have a .756 OPS and .473 slugging percentage in 121 at-bats versus Wainwright. Chicago has won four of the last six meetings, and the Cubs are 30-24 on the runline this season. The UNDER is 7-3-2 in the Cubs' past 12 games versus right-handed starters, and the weather forecast calls for 10 mph winds blowing in from right-center. The UNDER is 4-0 in Wainwright's last four starts versus NL Central starts. Play the Cubs on the runline and UNDER.

1 unit on Chicago +1.5 runs -140 (runline) (risk 1 to return 1.71)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 8.5 +100 (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
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