This pick was released to clients on September 06, 2023 at 11:32AM ET.
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St. Louis at Atlanta

September 6, 2023
img7:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Last place St. Louis got the win for us yesterday, but they're still on a 6-12 slide. The offense is 17th in runs scored, while the pitching is just 23rd in ERA (4.71), 27th in WHIP, and 22nd in the pen (4.67 ERA). Starter Dakota Hudson has a 5.40 ERA on the road where home teams are batting .290 off him. The Cardinals are 16-29 against NL squads averaging 4.5+ runs, plus 4-17 after a win by four or more runs. First place Atlanta is on a 20-7 run outscoring opponents by +235 runs, the best run differential in all of baseball. The Atlanta offense is No. 1 in runs scored, slugging, and on-base percentage, while the pitching is fifth in ERA (3.83) and second in the bullpen (3.48 ERA). Spencer Strider (3.56 ERA) has been an ace all season with Atlanta 22-5 in his starts. And the Braves are 21-4 versus an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.250 or better, plus 13-1 at home after a loss by four or more runs. Play Atlanta. 

1.5 units on Atlanta -290 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.02)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
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7
8
9
R
St. Louis Cardinals img
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
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0
11
Atlanta Braves
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
0
0
6
consensus consensus
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