St. Louis at Atlanta

The St. Louis Cardinals are off to a fast 14-6 start and sit atop the NL Central Division. The schedule has been very favorable, as 13 of their first 20 games have been played at home. They have otherwise been just 4-3 on the road. Kyle Lohse has logged three of those wins for the Cards, but in his only road start of the season he was touched up for four runs in five innings. This theme is a carry-over from last season, as his ERA on the road was 1.2 runs per game higher than at home, and his career mark against the Braves shows an ERA of over five. JoJo Reyes made his debut on the road vs. Pittsburgh, and did not have a good outing. He has broken the ice on his '09 season, so I look for a much better outing at home and will back the Braves here.